We all know the storyline about online retail taking over sales from big boxes because that's the story that the news is focused on. And I think it's true, especially for all boring, routine purchases that can be easily automated to the point we never even think, but they just happen. (Like Amazon's Dash buttons or subscription services that make automatic recurring deliveries of basic needs. Or your refrigerator noticing you're low on juice and ordering it for you.)
But not all retail sales are going to move online. Keep in mind that in 2016,
online sales totaled only 8% of all US retail sales. Where will the rest of retail sales go, if not online? And what kind of sales will they be?
This is where small local stores come in. If boring purchases get automated, that leaves the interesting retail. Think small, sustainable, curated, handcrafted, local and meaningful. Those are the things we'll still shop for in person.
IBM Research says that
in five years, buying local will once again beat online, at least for the interesting retail category we just talked about.
They say the smart local stores will merge digital with physical retail. The physical store is close to customers, and gives immediate gratification. Merge that with the product information and reviews of online, plus the data to be more personalized, like wishlists and recommendations. Local stores will bring the web right to where the shopper can physically touch it.
To really capitalize on this, small local stores will have to embrace some modern technology, giving customers an immersive, mixed real and virtual experience. JWT Intelligence calls this a
blended boutique experience.
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